The heads of intelligence services in the Czech Republic, Latvia, and Sweden believe Russia may intensify its sabotage campaign in Europe in the coming months, according to an interview with The Guardian. Czech Security Information Service (BIS) chief Michal Koudelka suggested Moscow might attempt a limited incursion into a NATO country bordering Russia, alongside provocations under false flags and large-scale influence operations.

Latvian State Security Service head Normunds Mežviets adopted a more cautious stance, noting signs of Moscow preparing for "more decisive actions" but seeing no evidence of an imminent attack. Swedish Military Intelligence and Security Service chief Thomas Nilsson stated that Russian sabotage activity is becoming more dangerous, citing an armed drone incident in Leipzig, Germany, which German authorities attributed to Russian special services as a "turning point."